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Monday, November 06, 2006 

Pre-Election Predictions

Official NSP Predictions:

U.S. Senate: Amy Klobuchar in a blowout
Governor: Tim Pawlenty by a hair
Secretary of State: Mark Ritchie by a small but surprising margin
Attorney General: Lori Swanson by less than predicted, but still a solid margin
State Auditor: Pat Anderson with room to spare

1st CD: Gutknecht in a nail-biter
2nd CD: Kline in a blowout
3rd CD: Ramstad, but Wilde comes closer than expected
4th CD: McCollum in a blowout
5th CD: Ellison well over 50%
6th CD: Bachmann in a squeaker
7th CD: Peterson in a blowout
8th CD: Oberstar in a blowout

MN House: DFL +5
MN Senate: DFL +2

For my Congressional predictions, see Predict06.

I've taken a conservative line here; I don't think that Dems will do as well as is the current CW. There will be enough to take both Legislative houses, but not the governor's race. Nationally, we'll take the House with a few seats to spare, but the Senate will be out of reach until at least 2008. Some of these predictions aren't ones I want to make, but they are my best guesses, and for the gubernatorial, auditor, and congressional races, I'd be more than happy to be wrong.

This will probably be my last post until the morning after. Good luck to us all, and make sure you leave it all on the table.

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Very good predictions..
My name is Mark Johnson, and I've been visiting your blog for past few months.
I’m a recent UC Berkeley Political science grad and I along with some fellow Princeton alums have been working hard to launch our own internet startup called Rizzleweb.com.
Rizzleweb is basically an online political community where people can log on and write performance reviews\comments for congressmen, senators, the president, and various other local and state officials across the country. I was hoping that if it would not be too much trouble you could place a link of our site on your blog. If this is not possible (which we completely understand), we still hope you will check out our site, and post some reviews.
Your contribution will encourage us to put more effort in improving our website.
Mark Johnson

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