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Tuesday, April 04, 2006 

Kelley Falling Behind

The delegate counts in the gubernatorial race are of some dispute, but Checks and Balances is reporting surprising new numbers.

C&B's numbers are Hatch 207.5, Lourey 203, Kelley 117.

It doesn't appear that Lourey's support runs so much more strongly than Kelley's, so either Kelley's delegate strategy is weak (C&B's position) or the numbers are bad. I'm expecting to hear someone, probably MNCR, argue the latter. Two things are clear; if accurate, this count is a disaster for the Kelley campaign, which has promised to abide by the endorsement, and a boon for the Lourey campaign, which appears to have a strong shot at beating Hatch for the endorsement.

Bumped from the comments:

MNCR:
...The reason C&B can't report Kelley's numbers is because the Kelley campaign wouldn't give them to Shawn Towle. They flat out refused. Towle wants to be a journalist, and wants C&B to be a primary source for solid information, but will not submit his work to peer review and will not admit when there are holes in his data or bias in his views.

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If checksandbalances, aka Shawn Towle, were the least bit credible comments would be allowed to be posted on-line. C&B is a mushroom in the basement that only survives due to lack of light.

Molly Gate speaks of seeing through ****

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